The Lake’s Real Estate Market 2009-2011



Residential Sales 2009-2011

2012 is off and running. Interest rates are holding at a fantastic rate and interest in Lake of the Ozarks homes is gaining strength every day. Prudential Lake Ozark Realty had a record year in 2011 with over 200 units sold. As you can see from the above numbers, sales were up by only 51 homes around the lake. What has happened is that those companies and agents that work full time, utilize the latest marketing and internet methods and understand the market, are increasing their market share while those that are part-time, throw up a sign and hope it sells agents are not seeing any results. It is the old Pareto principle at work, but instead of 20% of the agents doing 80% of the business, it is closer to 5% of the agents doing 95% of the business.If you compare the Absorption rate, the number of months of inventory supply on hand for a given price range, you will see that the inventories have dropped considerably. What does this mean to you? It means that sooner, not later, prices will rise due to demand.Looking at the List to Sell Ratio, it bounces around higher than 2009 to lower, then higher than 2010 then lower, but always in between 90 and 94%. The latest trend however is up for August through November. December was down primarily due to fewer sales caused by normal seasonality at the lake.

Residential Sales 2009-2011

Waterfront Home Sales 2009-2011

The sale of waterfront homes is up 12% over 2010!!! The good news if you are a buyer is that prices are down $7,000 from last year on average. The good news if you are a seller is from August on, the trend was up in price every month!

Waterfront Home Sales 2009-2011

Condo Sales 2009-2011

The good news here is there are 35% less units on the market. Sales numbers are identical to 2010 with 472 closed but with the lowered inventory, the Absorption Rates are not as scary as they were last year and the List to Sell Ratio remains between 93.39% and 96.18% the entire year. So if you are looking to sell, know your competition, price it right and you will not have to sell at half price!

Condo Sales 2009-2011 For More Market Statistics, Sign Up for the Schrimpf-Gum Team’s Newsletter on the right of this page.



Public Workshops for Project Boundary at the Lake



Latest Email Update from W. Jeff Green, AICP, Supervisor – Shoreline Management for Ameren.

Happy New Year!

As promised, Ameren Missouri has moved aggressively in developing and providing for public input on our plan for changes to the Project Boundary at Lake of the Ozarks. The plan should alleviate some community concerns over the Project Boundary issue facing property owners at the Lake of the Ozarks that have included some opinions that were based on misinformation. Ameren Missouri has committed to providing property owners with the facts about the issue and has released for public comment a draft Project Boundary amendment. The proposal is in response to an order by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission dated Nov. 10. The new FERC order clarifies the agency’s position regarding structures within the Project Boundary – an elevation-based, Ameren Missouri-owned strip of land surrounding the Lake’s shoreline.

The order provides a framework for Ameren Missouri to do what the company had initially proposed to resolve the issue of encroachments within the Project Boundary – namely, to redraw the boundary, where appropriate, so the vast majority of properties currently identified as encroachments would no longer be considered as such and to work with the remaining property owners on a case-by-case basis to determine a solution. In its plan, Ameren Missouri proposes setting the Project Boundary to 662 feet elevation for most lakefront properties.

The proposal is available online at www.AmerenMissouri.com/Lake. Comments may also be made by calling 573.365.9203 or by mailing them to:
Project Boundary Comments
Ameren Missouri Shoreline Management
Post Office Box 993
Lake Ozark, MO 65049

Public workshops have been scheduled for resource agencies and the public to provide input about the proposal:

* Osage Beach
January 3, 2012 – 6-8 p.m.
Inn at the Grand Glaize
5142 Highway 54
Osage Beach, Missouri 65065

* Sunrise Beach
January 5, 2012 – 6-8 p.m.
Lake West Christian Academy
17178 N. State Highway 5
Sunrise Beach, Missouri 65079

The public is invited to comment on the plan until January 15, 2012. Ameren Missouri is moving aggressively to prepare its plan and submit it to the FERC in the first quarter of 2012, well ahead of the June, 2012, deadline set by the agency. “Our plan to revise the Project Boundary will alleviate many concerns homeowners have, and we have no intention of forcing the removal of residences located in whole or in part on Ameren-owned property,” Jeff Green, Shoreline supervisor for Ameren Missouri, said. “Additionally, the plan does not call for leasing land, structures or facilities back to affected property owners. Any rumors to the contrary are simply not true.” Green added that it is important to understand that there is a Project Boundary issue and a property ownership issue as well. “I encourage property and dwelling owners to seek out information about their specific circumstances and understand the ownership and conveyance history of their lake property.”

Ameren Missouri, formerly Union Electric, has owned the land that comprises the Lake of the Ozarks since it built Bagnell Dam and the Osage Renewable Energy Center in the late 1920s. The U.S. Army Corps of Engineers issued and administered all permits for development within the project boundary for the first 50 years after Bagnell Dam was completed. In 1983, Ameren Missouri began issuing permits for docks in 1983. The company’s license from FERC to operate the Osage plant requires the company to manage the shoreline by balancing the various recreational, environmental and operational aspects of the project. In the most recent relicensing of the project, enhanced mapping and aerial photography enabled a comprehensive identification of structures located along the shoreline. As a result, numerous unauthorized structures were found to be entirely or partially located on Ameren Missouri property.

Sincerely,

W. Jeff Green, AICP
Supervisor – Shoreline Management
Real Estate Department
T 573.365.9214
F 573.365.5773
E wgreen@ameren.com

Ameren Services
PO Box 993 (MC LE883)
Lake Ozark, MO 65049



We Wrote Our Senators In Regards to FERC… See Senator McCaskill’s Response



Claire McCaskill

December 11, 2011

Dear Mr. Gum,

Thank you for contacting me regarding recent actions taken by the Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) at Lake of the Ozarks.  I appreciate hearing from you and welcome the opportunity to respond.

I was outraged at the ridiculous possibility that a government agency would order the removal of thousands of structures, homes and businesses along the Lake of the Ozarks, and immediately acted to demand that the threat of such action against owners at the Lake be removed.  Subsequently, I led my colleagues in Congress in a coordinated effort to protect homes and businesses at the Lake.  I am pleased that FERC recently issued, on November 10, a new order clarifying that no structures rightfully built along the lake will have to be removed.

Previously, in July, FERC issued a shoreline management plan for the Osage Hydroelectric Project at the Lake of the Ozarks as a part of AmerenUE’s (Ameren) license to operate the Osage Hydroelectric power plant.  The plan required Ameren to remove any structures, homes, or businesses built within the project boundary along the lakefront, impacting approximately four thousand properties.

On October 20, I introduced the Landowner Protection Act (S.1758), legislation prohibiting FERC from issuing any shoreline management plan that requires the removal of structures along the lake, which is cosponsored by fellow Missouri Senator Roy Blunt.  Additionally, lawmakers in the U.S. House of Representatives introduced it there so that every member of the Missouri delegation in the House of Representatives is a cosponsor of my legislation.

On November 18, Ameren announced that it will submit, in the first quarter of 2012, a new proposal to FERC for management of the Osage Hydroelectric power plant.  This new plan is intended to resolve the issue of encroachments without impacting the rights of property owners living and working around the Lake.  Accordingly, no homes or related structures should have to be removed.

I am hopeful that the situation at Lake of the Ozarks can be resolved without the need for passage of S.1758.  However, my legislation serves as a type of insurance policy to ensure property at the lake is protected; should it be necessary, I will work tirelessly for its passage.  Any management plan that calls for the destruction of homes at Lake of the Ozarks is unacceptable.  I am glad that it appears we have moved well past the consideration of any plan that could result in such an absurd outcome that tramples on the rights of property owners and defies common sense.

I will continue working to resolve this situation permanently, and I look forward to providing you with an update as soon as this situation is resolved.  This issue is of great importance to me and I will continue to fight alongside the residents and communities in the Lake of the Ozarks region to protect their interests.

Again, thank you for contacting me. Please do not hesitate to contact me in the future if I can be of further assistance to you on this or any other issue.

Sincerely,

 

Claire McCaskill
United States Senator

P.S. If you would like more information about resources that can help Missourians, or what I am doing in the Senate on your behalf, please sign up for my email newsletter at http://mccaskill.senate.gov.



Closed Transactions Are Up!



Transactions Comparisions

Prudential Lake Ozark Realty would like to let both our buyers and sellers in the Lake of the Ozarks area that we are UP OVER our Closed Transactions from last year by 74 from October 2010 to October 2011! This is NOT our only good news abou the market and our progress here at Prudential… Check back for our November statistics blog coming soon!



What To Expect From “Home Inspections”



What to expect from “Home Inspections”Home Inspectors

The home inspection should be considered a necessary part of any home purchase. It is one more way to recognize and confirm your new purchases well being, or to unveil potential problems that may make you think twice about the purchase. Because the inspector is working for the Buyer, he is paid by the Buyer. If the home closes, this bill is added to the settlement statement and paid at the closing. Here is what to expect from a competent, licensed home inspection.

During the due diligence period (normally 10 days after the contract is signed by both the Buyer and Seller), buyer may have done any and all inspections they wish. A general home inspection by a licensed professional gives the buyer a once over of all the home’s working systems, including plumbing, electrical, heating, air conditioning, roof etc.

Because the Lake of the Ozarks is not your typical city, many homes here have a septic system. This is perfectly normal and acceptable, as they are designed to give years of trouble free service. That said, as with most things, technology has come a long way. Older systems need to be checked for deterioration of old metal tanks and to make sure there is a adequate drain (leach) field. A licensed septic inspector is needed for this and in many cases more important than the general home inspection because if a new system is necessary, the cost can run from 10 to 20 thousand dollars!

If the general home inspection turns up anything odd, or if the buyer has a concern about any specific item, they can order additional inspections by calling a specialist in that area, such as a roofer, HVAC contractor, plumber, etc.

After the inspections are complete, the Buyer has three options:
Accept the home “As Is”
Cancel the contract, get your earnest monies back and start looking for another home.
Give the Seller a written list of repairs you require prior to closing.

The Seller then has three options.
Fix everything the Buyer requests. The Buyer is now legally obligated to close
Fix nothing. The Buyer now has to decide whether to accept the property “As Is” or cancel the contract, take their earnest money and start the search over.
Fix some items. Buyer now has the option of accepting the property with the repairs the seller is willing to make, or cancel the contract

Note there is no step to renegotiate the purchase price! The purchase price and the repairs are separate issues, negotiated separately and are totally unrelated. Sellers may choose to offer a credit to the Buyer in lieu of making some or all of the requested repairs. The seller is not bound to offer a credit and buyer may not ask for a credit in lieu of repairs, regardless of the inspection findings. If a credit is offered, the amount is negotiable.

As with the contract itself, inspections and notices are time sensitive. If the Buyer misses the deadline to submit the Inspection Report – they just bought the house “As Is”! If the Seller doesn’t respond in the allotted reply time, typically 7 days, the Buyer must assume Seller intends to sell the home “As Is”. The Buyer has 3 days from the date of the Seller’s response to decide whether to go ahead with the purchase in the “As Is” condition or cancel the contract.

This is one situation where a mistake or untimely response can be monumentally costly and one reason why it is best to hire someone who’s job it is to do this all day, every day, and carries insurance to protect you and themselves against mistakes. To err is human, to buy real estate without a professional Realtor is just silly.



The Lake’s Latest: FERC Fiasco Resolved



The Federal Energy Regulatory Commission (FERC) provided certainty for citizens at Lake of the Ozarks in Missouri last Thursday by setting the record straight that FERC has not required shoreline homes and structures with valid deeds, permits and easements to be removed. The Lake of the Ozarks reservoir is part of the Osage Hydroelectric Project, licensed to Ameren UE.

“I am confident that today’s decision will bring clarity to residents along the shoreline of the Lake of the Ozarks,” FERC Chairman Jon Wellinghoff said. “I expect Ameren to move quickly to comply with the Commission order. This will resolve all outstanding issues associated with its shoreline management plan and bring this matter to a swift and satisfactory resolution.”

FERC’s prior order on this case, issued July 26, 2011, was misinterpreted to mean that the Commission would order all privately owned structures built within the boundaries of the Osage project to be removed. Ameren is responsible for managing the shoreline, which includes ensuring that structures within the project boundary around the Lake of the Ozarks are built with the proper authorizations.

The order states:

  • Whatever property rights that owners have in lands within the boundaries of the Osage Project, whether conferred by deed, lease, easement or other conveyance, have not been and will not be altered by FERC’s actions today. Nothing in this order affects any previously issued valid permit authorizing a non-project use of project lands or waters.
  • For structures without valid deeds, permits or easements, Ameren must determine whether they interfere with the Osage project. If they do, Ameren must take some action, such as redrawing the boundaries of the project, so those structures no longer are sitting on project lands. This would put them outside of the project boundaries and therefore outside of FERC jurisdiction.
  • If any structure does interfere with the operation of the Osage project, Ameren and the structure owner must find a solution that satisfies both sides. Ameren itself has stated that after the project boundary is revised, it expects the majority of structures will no longer be considered nonconforming.

FERC established these requirements in the context of directing Ameren to change its shoreline management plan for the Osage project. Ameren must file with the Commission its plan to modify the project boundary by June 1, 2012.

Fact Sheet/FAQs – http://www.ferc.gov/media/news-releases/2011/2011-4/11-10-11-factsheet.asp

Overview – http://www.ferc.gov/media/news-releases/2011/2011-4/11-10-11-osage-overview.pdf

Decision – http://www.ferc.gov/EventCalendar/Files/20111110090759-P-459-310a1.pdf



Lake of the Ozarks Real Estate Market Statistics – October 2011



Information is power in today’s volatile real estate market. Spotting the trends and keeping up on sale prices and volume keeps you ahead of the market and enables you to make critical decisions regarding your lake property. Whether you’re buying or selling, information is key to making a informed decision.

Below you’ll find links to the current 2011 information, plus comparisons to 2010 and 2009 markets. We have separated the properties into the following sets:

  • Waterfront Residential Market Statistics
  • Residential Market Statistics
  • Condominiums Market Statistics

In each set, there is information regarding

  • Number of Sold Listings
  • Absorption Rates
  • Median Sell Prices
  • Average Days on Market
  • List to Sell Ratio

There’s good news and not so good news, but it is the local market. Check out the following E-Statistics below.

Cheers,
The Schrimpf-Gum Team

Waterfront Residential Market Statistics

Residential Market Statistics

Condominiums Market Statistics

 



Call to Action: File Your Letters With FERC



Below is an email I received from the Lake of the Ozarks Convention and Visitors Bureau.

If you are like me and think that FERC has more important things to do than dictate to us where a deck is put and how Ameren runs its business, please read this post.
This change could litterally cost people their homes and life savings!

CALL TO ACTION: FILE YOUR LETTERS TO FERC

Summary:
As you may be aware the Federal Energy Commission (FERC) recently promulgated an order regarding the Shoreline Management Plan prepared and filed by Ameren Missouri as part of the re-licensing of Bagnell Dam and the management of the Lake of the Ozarks.

Essentially FERC has ordered that all improvements, from homes to gazebos, located within the “project boundary” be identified and registered as “nonconforming structures”. Under the proposed FERC rules, Ameren is required to register each “nonconforming structure” by May 1, 2012. FERC further mandates that all “nonconforming structures” will be either:

1. Removed (A plan and schedule for removal must be submitted to FERC)

2. Allowed to be temporarily located within the project boundary on the condition that a plan be submitted to FERC setting forth the reasons for the temporary continual location within the “project boundary” together with a plan for the timetable for removal of the offending “nonconforming structure”;

3. Withdrawn from the “project boundary” through a potentially very expensive application process to FERC that will require FERC to individually approve of each such withdrawal.

As you can see the end result of this FERC mandate is that no “nonconforming structures” will ultimately exist at the Lake of the Ozarks.

Ameren has requested a rehearing of the FERC order so that the mandate regarding the removal of existing “nonconforming structures” can be subject to further discussion and, hopefully, a softening of the heavy-handed approach of FERC in this matter. Ameren has been supported in their request for a rehearing by letters from each of the Lake area’s chambers as well as many other letters, including letters from our elected federal, state and local officials. More letters are needed-with FERC the volume of the opposition makes a difference.

We recommend that lake area businesses and residents write to FERC stating that their mandates regarding the Lake of the Ozarks will have a significant negative economic impact on the community, while providing a very minimal environmental or aesthetic enhancement. Ameren Missouri has requested a common sense approach to a very complex issue and we recommend supporting their request for rehearing. Please consider writing to FERC at the address below and expressing your opposition to their order regarding “nonconforming structures” as that term is used in the Ameren Shoreline Management Plan. A sample letter is attached at the clinkable link below (FERC Sample Letter) that can be utilized for your company letterhead.

FERC Sample Letter – http://www.funlake.com/cvb_members/FERCSampleMemberLetter.pdf

Address:
Kimberly D. Bose, Secretary
Federal Energy Regulatory Commission
888 First Street NE
Routing Code: GC-10
Washington , D.C. 20426

Sincerely,
Tim Jacobsen
Executive Director
Lake of the Ozarks CVB
573.348.1599
tim@funlake.com



The Five Factors of Credit Scoring



What do you mean, you didn't get the loan?

The Five Factors of Credit Scoring
Consider these five factors when trying to improve your credit.

1.Payment History has a 35% impact. Paying debt on time and in full has a positive impact, and late payments, judgments and charge-offs have a negative impact.

2.Outstanding Credit Balances have a 30% impact. Debt ratio of outstanding balance to available credit is important. Keeping that below 50% is wise and below 30% even wiser. It is never a good idea to close an account; the debt ratio will go up and the number of seasoned lines will decrease. Pay outstanding debt down as close to zero as possible and evenly redistribute the remaining balance among the open lines. The increased interest incurred by moving a balance from a 0% card to a 23% card will be minimal relative to what the increased mortgage debt might be with a low credit score. Hitting the maximums of available credit can be very negative. It may be worth calling and asking the credit company to increase your available credit to lower the debt ratio, provided they can do so without a hard credit inquiry.

3.Length of Credit History has a 15% impact. The length of time a particular credit line has been opened is important. A seasoned borrower is stronger. Opening new credit cards will decrease the average length, and therefore hurt this portion of the score. Keeping your cards open will help your score over time. Closing them will erase the good payment history.

4.Type of Credit has a 10% impact. A mix of auto loans, credit cards and mortgages is positive, rather than a concentration in credit cards only. Careful, too, when getting credit at a store that is not a department store: the credit agencies frown on cards for more specialized stores where you’re likely to only make one purchase, as they seem to show desperation.

5.Inquiries have a 10% impact. Hard inquiries for credit will negatively impact the score. Auto and mortgage inquiries receive special treatment and 20 inquiries can be made in a 14-day period for auto or mortgage and will be treated as only 1 inquiry. The maximum number of inquiries that will reduce the score is 10. Any inquiries beyond that in a six -month period will have no further impact on the borrower. Each hard inquiry can cost 2-50 points on a credit score.

For assistance with Credit Repair, contact Katie Karr, Certified Credit Consultant, Mobile 573-216-4247



Sell, Buy… Curious?



As you can tell, The Schrimpf-Gum Team is STILL closing transactions this year – Up 74 over last year.

Sign up below to see the Lake’s MLS Total Market Statistics comparing 2009, 2010 to 2011.

 

Reports are broken down into categories of:

Waterfront Residential
Residential
Condo

Each report has the latest Lake Market Statistics for each of the categories:

Units Sold
Absorption Rates
Median Sell Price
Average Days on Market
List to Sell Ratio

Buy or Sell at Lake of the Ozarks with The Schrimpf-Gum Team, give us a call at 888-366-6266 !